Traders split on September Fed hike odds ahead of July CPI release
Ahead of the July CPI release scheduled for 20:30 on August 12, traders are pricing September Fed rate hike odds ranging from roughly 30% to 50%, with the consensus core month-over-month increase of 0.2% sitting at the threshold for a hike. FOMC tracker data shows the market pricing a 38% probability of a 25bps hike in September versus 60% hold.
Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula
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@DehuaFi
今晚 CPI 成關鍵：核心月增 0.2% 是升息分水嶺，比特幣 6.3 萬震盪 今晚 20:30，美國勞工統計局將公佈 7 月 CPI，市場共識的核心月增 0.2% 恰好卡在美國銀行設下的九月升息門檻中間地帶。交易員對九月升息機率的定價從三成多到五成不等。 （前情提要：非農爆冷「8 月 12 日 CPI 成關鍵」，押注 Fed
@BCryptodinero
📅 FOMC Tracker Próxima junta: 16/09/2026 (+36d) 🎯 Mercado: HOLD -50 bps: 1% / -25 bps: 1% / HOLD: 60% / +25 bps: 38% / +50 bps: 1% 📊 Detalle: https://t.co/SJFeJlpbVH #Bitcoin #Fed #FOMC #Crypto https://t.co/CK4sFdBkp9
@DehuaFi
預告：今晚7月CPI數據公佈在即，或直接決定聯準會9月是否扣動升息扳機 BlockBeats 律動財經 2026-08-12 11:01 Prognosis: CPI data are on the way tonight, or it's a direct decision that the Union will pull the raiser in September. Block Beats Books 2026-08-12:01 #聯準會 #Fed