Brazil 2026 runoff polls show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie

A BTG NEXUS poll shows Lula at 47% versus Flávio Bolsonaro at 46% in a potential second round, while a Quaest poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro at 42% versus Lula at 40%. A separate report cites Polymarket data showing Lula down 11% with Flávio Bolsonaro leading the presidential race.

Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula