October 12, 2026Macro·Neutral·macro
Markets price 43% chance of Fed rate hike in October, up from 22%
Market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October have surged from 22% to 43%, signaling growing expectations of tighter monetary policy, after CPI data came in above estimates. Markets still see the Fed more likely to hike in December than October.
Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula
Story subjects
Federal Reserve rate hike