October 14, 2026MacroPrediction Markets·Neutral·macro
Markets price 51.5% chance of Fed rate hike at October FOMC, up from 44%
Market pricing now shows a 51.5% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the October 28 FOMC meeting, according to a widely shared market-odds figure. Traders are also betting the Fed may have to hike twice or raise by 50bp in December, per CNBC.
Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula
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Federal Reserve