October 15, 2026MacroPrediction Markets·Neutral·macro
Odds of October Fed rate hike fall to ~29% after hot PPI, December hike seen at 90%
Despite an unexpected jump in wholesale inflation in September, market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October fell to around 29%, lower than yesterday. Markets still price a 90% chance of a rate hike in December.
Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula
Story subjects
October rate hikeWholesale inflation