October 2, 2026MacroPrediction Markets·Neutral·macro
Rate-hike odds fall after weak September jobs data; CME FedWatch shows 72% chance of October hold
Odds of further rate hikes through year-end fell after September employment growth slowed sharply, with the CME FedWatch tool showing a 72% chance of a hold in October and some prediction markets pricing an 85% chance of a hold. Two senior Fed officials struck a dovish tone.
Detected & updated continuously · Source: Nebula
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